Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1383.244057 1518.867961 1657.174572 1808.490371 1969.102084 2134.223629 2316.536862
2025-05-04 1155.433168 1354.098075 1565.473751 1805.977089 2070.894669 2352.703423 2674.032274
2025-05-11 1003.112671 1236.201244 1492.313550 1792.235284 2131.457529 2500.961359 2931.574276
2025-05-18 903.229211 1161.949723 1454.033956 1804.272353 2208.911345 2657.971826 3190.201348
2025-05-25 810.156918 1085.248935 1403.742671 1793.966003 2253.437795 2771.774853 3395.146256
2025-06-01 748.803597 1039.943202 1384.593272 1814.808358 2329.613331 2918.406612 3635.123144
2025-06-08 677.691378 976.659578 1338.639340 1798.946000 2358.542695 3007.126229 3805.803826
2025-06-15 643.145250 956.074604 1342.104174 1840.480210 2454.121451 3172.900828 4066.116088
2025-06-22 596.837756 916.800726 1319.300225 1847.109529 2505.467825 3284.879405 4262.288661
2025-06-29 550.520062 874.190961 1289.412461 1842.352850 2540.824246 3376.259798 4433.075979
2025-07-06 487.529874 804.854194 1221.279195 1785.635802 2508.722965 3383.536088 4500.825695
2025-07-13 478.118145 808.642453 1248.498745 1850.997065 2629.566042 3577.928428 4796.034658
2025-07-20 455.634286 793.163722 1249.832661 1883.199886 2709.782626 3724.529477 5036.367699
2025-07-27 422.398098 760.182376 1225.913807 1880.982585 2745.357834 3815.714350 5209.323478
2025-08-03 387.991774 723.128834 1194.386556 1866.841230 2764.126963 3884.935778 5354.636502
2025-08-10 365.014095 701.693334 1183.341743 1879.222412 2816.674321 3996.313469 5552.438835
2025-08-17 336.767051 670.233254 1156.479082 1868.621578 2837.949062 4067.390530 5699.605876
2025-08-24 320.107064 655.887673 1153.336365 1890.058917 2901.300150 4192.115483 5914.612279
2025-08-31 294.078802 624.680075 1124.077790 1873.743933 2913.167806 4250.079438 6044.942817
2025-09-07 285.801126 622.121236 1136.839383 1916.460711 3004.604839 4411.151567 6306.969002
2025-09-14 268.761956 603.693483 1124.886042 1923.278009 3046.889309 4508.276872 6487.652100
2025-09-21 250.004821 581.024310 1105.415808 1918.386473 3072.521580 4583.320936 6640.031884
2025-09-28 220.223027 536.683304 1050.480663 1860.052975 3022.853091 4558.103197 6662.165047